"You'd be surprised at how often the majority of pool players fail to negotiate the all important last three balls. One reason is simply the numerical odds of pocketing three balls in a row....Once you can regularly get out from the 7-ball, you'll be beating a lot of players that you thought were pretty good up until now."
So here's how he breaks down the math:
- If you make 70% of your shots, you have a 1 in 3 chance (34%)
- If you make 80% of your shots, you have a 1 in 2 chance (51.8%)
- If you make 90% of your shots, you get out most of the time, but still dog it in about 1 in four tries (73%)
I'm not sure I really want this going through my head as I walk up to the table after my opponent has missed the seven. But, I guess its good inspiration to remember to never take any shot for granted, and bear down on the last three. It would be nice to be the kind of player who beats their average if its the three that can win you the game.